Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Japan Excellent, Inc. (8987.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - OfficeSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$148,272.41 - $248,917.15$192,413.52
Multi-Stage$253,277.06 - $277,774.34$265,292.29
Blended Fair Value$228,852.91
Current Price$133,500.00
Upside71.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.65%2.67%5,684.485,656.835,732.806,067.635,901.675,503.395,393.785,185.574,737.034,636.01
YoY Growth--0.49%-1.33%-5.52%2.81%7.24%2.03%4.02%9.47%2.18%6.14%
Dividend Yield--4.89%4.51%4.38%4.55%4.61%3.13%3.64%3.96%3.19%3.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16,444.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11,270.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,173.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,288.892,055.561,233.34
Cash Retained (M)5,173.565,173.565,173.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,288.89-2,055.56-1,233.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,884.673,118.003,940.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.321.321.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,423.352,354.802,975.77
LTM Dividend per Share8,512.108,512.108,512.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,423.352,354.802,975.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend9,935.4610,866.9011,487.87
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Fair Value$148,272.41$192,413.52$248,917.15
Upside / Downside11.07%44.13%86.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16,444.4716,661.1816,880.7417,103.2017,328.5917,556.9518,083.66
Payout Ratio68.54%72.83%77.12%81.42%85.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11,270.9112,134.5613,019.0213,924.6914,851.9615,801.2616,727.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Year 1 PV (M)11,224.5911,336.4811,448.37
Year 2 PV (M)11,139.6411,362.8411,588.24
Year 3 PV (M)11,021.1011,353.9811,693.50
Year 4 PV (M)10,873.5011,313.5911,766.91
Year 5 PV (M)10,700.9911,245.0811,811.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)280,405.35294,662.62309,494.01
Equity Value (M)335,365.17351,274.59367,802.12
Shares Outstanding (M)1.321.321.32
Fair Value$253,277.06$265,292.29$277,774.34
Upside / Downside89.72%98.72%108.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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