Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation (8986.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$212,233.72 - $480,288.93$308,227.92
Multi-Stage$242,029.27 - $264,962.07$253,282.13
Blended Fair Value$280,755.02
Current Price$107,400.00
Upside161.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.004,405.754,073.063,918.643,792.472,776.662,700.292,654.712,460.362,369.16
YoY Growth---100.00%8.17%3.94%3.33%36.58%2.83%1.72%7.90%3.85%12.07%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.54%3.67%3.41%3.39%2.55%2.71%2.95%3.10%2.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,833.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,357.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,476.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,166.793,229.241,937.55
Cash Retained (M)9,476.329,476.329,476.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,166.79-3,229.24-1,937.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,309.536,247.087,538.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.402.402.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,794.542,601.363,139.24
LTM Dividend per Share6,811.516,811.516,811.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,794.542,601.363,139.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,606.059,412.879,950.75
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Fair Value$212,233.72$308,227.92$480,288.93
Upside / Downside97.61%186.99%347.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,833.9426,851.3927,908.9029,008.0630,150.5231,337.9632,278.10
Payout Ratio63.32%68.65%73.99%79.33%84.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,357.6218,434.7320,650.0723,011.3225,526.5328,204.1729,857.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Year 1 PV (M)17,045.0317,210.6217,376.20
Year 2 PV (M)17,654.0317,998.6918,346.69
Year 3 PV (M)18,189.6718,724.9519,270.63
Year 4 PV (M)18,656.7619,392.3620,149.50
Year 5 PV (M)19,059.8220,003.7720,984.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)490,619.99514,918.28540,169.88
Equity Value (M)581,225.30608,248.67636,297.66
Shares Outstanding (M)2.402.402.40
Fair Value$242,029.27$253,282.13$264,962.07
Upside / Downside125.35%135.83%146.71%

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