Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KDX Realty Investment Corporation (8972.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,937,536.15 - $4,479,087.03$4,197,560.50
Multi-Stage$662,425.63 - $725,135.67$693,204.24
Blended Fair Value$2,445,382.37
Current Price$148,600.00
Upside1,545.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS20.40%17.51%7,522.473,225.753,063.463,366.483,069.062,973.542,632.442,387.822,171.492,086.40
YoY Growth--133.20%5.30%-9.00%9.69%3.21%12.96%10.24%9.96%4.08%39.22%
Dividend Yield--5.06%2.07%2.04%1.95%1.52%2.21%1.41%1.44%1.37%1.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88,200.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30,123.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)58,077.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,640.1411,025.096,615.05
Cash Retained (M)58,077.6358,077.6358,077.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,640.14-11,025.09-6,615.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)40,437.4947,052.5451,462.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.923.923.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share10,325.7512,014.9113,141.01
LTM Dividend per Share7,691.957,691.957,691.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share10,325.7512,014.9113,141.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend18,017.7019,706.8620,832.96
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,937,536.15$4,197,560.50$4,479,087.03
Upside / Downside1,203.86%2,724.74%2,914.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88,200.6893,933.73100,039.42106,541.98113,467.21120,842.58124,467.86
Payout Ratio34.15%45.32%56.49%67.66%78.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30,123.0642,572.9256,513.9972,087.5389,446.85108,758.32115,132.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39,606.2639,981.6740,357.09
Year 2 PV (M)48,912.1649,843.7950,784.22
Year 3 PV (M)58,043.2159,709.4261,407.22
Year 4 PV (M)67,001.8569,578.5572,228.87
Year 5 PV (M)75,790.4879,451.1883,252.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,304,824.082,416,147.942,531,732.43
Equity Value (M)2,594,178.022,714,712.562,839,761.82
Shares Outstanding (M)3.923.923.92
Fair Value$662,425.63$693,204.24$725,135.67
Upside / Downside345.78%366.49%387.98%

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