Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (8953.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$176,298.53 - $376,483.22$250,911.48
Multi-Stage$231,187.63 - $253,112.76$241,945.22
Blended Fair Value$246,428.35
Current Price$92,400.00
Upside166.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.43%5.23%4,506.174,549.032,271.173,332.333,326.753,300.223,272.483,086.942,979.652,813.60
YoY Growth---0.94%100.29%-31.84%0.17%0.80%0.85%6.01%3.60%5.90%3.95%
Dividend Yield--4.88%4.65%2.05%3.12%4.16%3.10%3.26%3.05%2.57%2.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67,564.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55,847.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,717.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,512.938,445.585,067.35
Cash Retained (M)11,717.4011,717.4011,717.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,512.93-8,445.58-5,067.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1,795.523,271.826,650.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.037.037.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share-255.48465.54946.21
LTM Dividend per Share7,946.297,946.297,946.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share-255.48465.54946.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,690.818,411.838,892.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate2.34%3.34%4.34%
Fair Value$176,298.53$250,911.48$376,483.22
Upside / Downside90.80%171.55%307.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67,564.6369,822.7072,156.2574,567.7877,059.9179,635.3382,024.39
Payout Ratio82.66%84.13%85.59%87.06%88.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55,847.2258,739.0461,761.7764,920.9468,222.2971,671.8075,872.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate2.34%3.34%4.34%
Year 1 PV (M)54,463.5054,995.6855,527.85
Year 2 PV (M)53,097.8954,140.6155,193.48
Year 3 PV (M)51,751.2753,283.1554,844.97
Year 4 PV (M)50,424.4652,424.3654,483.16
Year 5 PV (M)49,118.1551,565.2154,108.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,365,951.561,434,003.101,504,740.26
Equity Value (M)1,624,806.831,700,412.101,778,898.56
Shares Outstanding (M)7.037.037.03
Fair Value$231,187.63$241,945.22$253,112.76
Upside / Downside150.20%161.85%173.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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