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Definitive Analysis

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Brighton-Best International (Taiwan) Inc. (8415.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$188.10 - $522.22$489.38
Multi-Stage$80.45 - $88.03$84.17
Blended Fair Value$286.78
Current Price$33.55
Upside754.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.20%15.55%1.491.791.811.401.412.410.600.560.350.23
YoY Growth---16.95%-0.93%29.65%-0.83%-41.67%304.84%6.69%59.22%50.00%-33.33%
Dividend Yield--4.17%5.30%5.02%3.64%5.18%8.94%1.66%2.56%2.14%1.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,702.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,517.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,184.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)540.43337.77202.66
Cash Retained (M)1,184.751,184.751,184.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-540.43-337.77-202.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)644.32846.98982.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,025.951,025.951,025.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.830.96
LTM Dividend per Share1.481.481.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.830.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.112.302.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.18%6.18%7.18%
Fair Value$188.10$489.38$522.22
Upside / Downside460.66%1,358.67%1,456.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,702.132,869.053,046.293,234.473,434.283,646.443,755.83
Payout Ratio56.16%62.92%69.69%76.46%83.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,517.391,805.332,123.052,473.152,858.393,281.793,474.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.18%6.18%7.18%
Year 1 PV (M)1,681.461,697.441,713.43
Year 2 PV (M)1,841.711,876.891,912.41
Year 3 PV (M)1,998.202,055.742,114.37
Year 4 PV (M)2,151.002,233.982,319.34
Year 5 PV (M)2,300.172,411.622,527.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)72,564.0476,079.8679,730.66
Equity Value (M)82,536.5886,355.5490,317.56
Shares Outstanding (M)1,025.951,025.951,025.95
Fair Value$80.45$84.17$88.03
Upside / Downside139.79%150.88%162.39%

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