Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Mitake Information Corporation (8284.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$197.69 - $895.41$454.98
Multi-Stage$107.72 - $117.54$112.54
Blended Fair Value$283.76
Current Price$63.10
Upside349.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS7.99%0.00%3.493.993.002.353.002.380.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---12.50%33.33%27.28%-21.43%25.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.14%6.38%4.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)208.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)185.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.7926.1215.67
Cash Retained (M)23.5923.5923.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.79-26.12-15.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)-18.20-2.537.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.4146.4146.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.39-0.050.17
LTM Dividend per Share3.993.993.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.39-0.050.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.603.944.16
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$197.69$454.98$895.41
Upside / Downside213.30%621.05%1,319.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)208.96222.54237.01252.41268.82286.29294.88
Payout Ratio88.71%88.97%89.23%89.48%89.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)185.37197.99211.47225.87241.25257.67272.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)182.58184.31186.04
Year 2 PV (M)179.83183.26186.72
Year 3 PV (M)177.13182.21187.39
Year 4 PV (M)174.46181.17188.07
Year 5 PV (M)171.83180.13188.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,113.424,312.104,518.39
Equity Value (M)4,999.265,223.195,455.36
Shares Outstanding (M)46.4146.4146.41
Fair Value$107.72$112.54$117.54
Upside / Downside70.71%78.35%86.28%

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