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Definitive Analysis

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SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. (7735.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45,263.56 - $191,897.55$112,508.03
Multi-Stage$22,698.54 - $24,829.93$23,744.73
Blended Fair Value$68,126.38
Current Price$13,460.00
Upside406.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS41.07%42.92%264.13263.65142.7843.9014.7747.2753.5742.4429.5617.33
YoY Growth--0.18%84.65%225.21%197.18%-68.75%-11.76%26.23%43.59%70.56%133.29%
Dividend Yield--2.25%1.84%1.76%0.96%0.27%1.88%2.20%1.09%0.79%0.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)92,485.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29,716.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)62,769.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,497.0011,560.636,936.38
Cash Retained (M)62,769.0062,769.0062,769.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,497.00-11,560.63-6,936.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)44,272.0051,208.3855,832.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)95.8595.8595.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share461.90534.27582.51
LTM Dividend per Share310.03310.03310.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share461.90534.27582.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend771.93844.30892.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45,263.56$112,508.03$191,897.55
Upside / Downside236.28%735.87%1,325.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)92,485.0098,496.53104,898.80111,717.22118,978.84126,712.47130,513.84
Payout Ratio32.13%43.70%55.28%66.85%78.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29,716.0043,047.4157,986.3574,685.4793,310.49114,041.22120,725.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39,742.3340,119.0340,495.74
Year 2 PV (M)49,424.0550,365.4451,315.71
Year 3 PV (M)58,769.9160,456.9962,176.04
Year 4 PV (M)67,788.4570,395.4073,076.84
Year 5 PV (M)76,488.0280,182.4284,018.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,883,392.001,974,360.532,068,810.65
Equity Value (M)2,175,604.762,275,879.822,379,893.19
Shares Outstanding (M)95.8595.8595.85
Fair Value$22,698.54$23,744.73$24,829.93
Upside / Downside68.64%76.41%84.47%

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