Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Genii Ideas Co., Ltd. (7631.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.95 - $46.98$39.84
Multi-Stage$52.84 - $57.91$55.32
Blended Fair Value$47.58
Current Price$140.00
Upside-66.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%3.125.837.771.090.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---46.56%-24.94%611.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.93%5.21%6.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)91.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)43.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)47.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.3711.486.89
Cash Retained (M)47.9547.9547.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.37-11.48-6.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.5836.4741.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.8618.8618.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.571.932.18
LTM Dividend per Share2.332.332.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.571.932.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.904.264.51
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$32.95$39.84$46.98
Upside / Downside-76.46%-71.54%-66.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)91.8790.9590.0489.1488.2587.3789.99
Payout Ratio47.81%56.25%64.68%73.12%81.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)43.9251.1658.2465.1871.9878.6383.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)46.2146.6847.15
Year 2 PV (M)47.5248.5049.48
Year 3 PV (M)48.0449.5251.04
Year 4 PV (M)47.9249.9051.95
Year 5 PV (M)47.2849.7452.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)759.59799.15840.33
Equity Value (M)996.561,043.491,092.26
Shares Outstanding (M)18.8618.8618.86
Fair Value$52.84$55.32$57.91
Upside / Downside-62.26%-60.48%-58.64%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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