Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Beijing Succeeder Technology Inc. (688338.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.21 - $21.42$16.13
Multi-Stage$11.71 - $12.79$12.24
Blended Fair Value$14.19
Current Price$26.52
Upside-46.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS95.76%0.00%0.260.200.190.310.110.010.040.180.030.00
YoY Growth--30.00%4.00%-37.50%172.16%1,150.00%-76.24%-79.05%482.37%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.06%0.80%0.52%1.02%0.32%0.01%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)93.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.7811.747.04
Cash Retained (M)59.5659.5659.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.78-11.74-7.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.7847.8252.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)104.91104.91104.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.460.50
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.460.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.780.83
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate3.91%4.91%5.91%
Fair Value$12.21$16.13$21.42
Upside / Downside-53.96%-39.17%-19.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)93.9098.51103.34108.41113.73119.31122.89
Payout Ratio36.57%47.25%57.94%68.63%79.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.3446.5559.8874.4090.20107.38113.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate3.91%4.91%5.91%
Year 1 PV (M)41.9142.3242.72
Year 2 PV (M)48.5549.4850.43
Year 3 PV (M)54.3155.9057.51
Year 4 PV (M)59.3061.6163.99
Year 5 PV (M)63.5666.6869.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)961.201,008.351,057.33
Equity Value (M)1,228.821,284.331,341.90
Shares Outstanding (M)104.91104.91104.91
Fair Value$11.71$12.24$12.79
Upside / Downside-55.83%-53.84%-51.77%

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