Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Assure Tech (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd. (688075.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.91 - $38.00$25.43
Multi-Stage$13.52 - $14.75$14.12
Blended Fair Value$19.78
Current Price$38.91
Upside-49.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS279.29%0.00%0.803.591.880.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---77.65%91.22%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-59.26%-17.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.02%10.35%3.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)120.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)68.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.1715.119.07
Cash Retained (M)68.0668.0668.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.17-15.11-9.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.8952.9558.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)126.72126.72126.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.420.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.420.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.760.830.88
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.91$25.43$38.00
Upside / Downside-53.98%-34.65%-2.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)120.87128.73137.09146.01155.50165.60170.57
Payout Ratio43.69%52.95%62.21%71.48%80.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.8168.1785.29104.36125.54149.04157.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)61.3961.9762.55
Year 2 PV (M)69.1870.5071.83
Year 3 PV (M)76.2378.4280.65
Year 4 PV (M)82.5985.7689.03
Year 5 PV (M)88.3092.5696.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,336.141,400.681,467.68
Equity Value (M)1,713.821,789.881,868.73
Shares Outstanding (M)126.72126.72126.72
Fair Value$13.52$14.12$14.75
Upside / Downside-65.24%-63.70%-62.10%

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