Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cica-Huntek Chemical Technology Taiwan Co., Ltd. (6725.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$655.31 - $1,795.52$1,012.24
Multi-Stage$2,431.36 - $2,686.64$2,556.44
Blended Fair Value$1,784.34
Current Price$217.00
Upside722.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%6.911.680.990.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--311.76%70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.44%1.47%1.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)981.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)287.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)694.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)196.37122.7373.64
Cash Retained (M)694.75694.75694.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-196.37-122.73-73.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)498.38572.02621.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.4433.4433.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.9017.1018.57
LTM Dividend per Share8.588.588.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.9017.1018.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.4925.6927.16
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$655.31$1,012.24$1,795.52
Upside / Downside201.98%366.47%727.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)981.85972.03962.31952.69943.16933.73961.74
Payout Ratio29.24%41.39%53.54%65.70%77.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)287.10402.35515.26625.88734.23840.35889.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)392.35396.35400.36
Year 2 PV (M)489.97500.02510.18
Year 3 PV (M)580.37598.32616.63
Year 4 PV (M)663.92691.44719.80
Year 5 PV (M)741.00779.59819.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)78,443.2282,527.9586,781.08
Equity Value (M)81,310.8485,493.6789,847.81
Shares Outstanding (M)33.4433.4433.44
Fair Value$2,431.36$2,556.44$2,686.64
Upside / Downside1,020.44%1,078.08%1,138.08%

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