Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fuzetec Technology Co., Ltd. (6642.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.63 - $32.30$26.70
Multi-Stage$43.99 - $48.22$46.06
Blended Fair Value$36.38
Current Price$57.30
Upside-36.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-5.23%0.00%1.503.603.601.511.261.960.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---58.33%0.00%138.22%20.00%-35.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.43%6.08%6.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)98.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)93.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.7012.317.39
Cash Retained (M)4.994.994.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.70-12.31-7.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)-14.71-7.32-2.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.4237.4237.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.39-0.20-0.06
LTM Dividend per Share2.502.502.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.39-0.20-0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.112.302.43
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$21.63$26.70$32.30
Upside / Downside-62.24%-53.40%-43.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)98.4997.5196.5395.5694.6193.6696.47
Payout Ratio94.93%93.95%92.96%91.97%90.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)93.5091.6089.7387.8986.0884.3089.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)84.3285.1886.04
Year 2 PV (M)76.0377.5979.17
Year 3 PV (M)68.5570.6772.84
Year 4 PV (M)61.8064.3667.01
Year 5 PV (M)55.7158.6161.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,299.391,367.051,437.50
Equity Value (M)1,645.811,723.481,804.19
Shares Outstanding (M)37.4237.4237.42
Fair Value$43.99$46.06$48.22
Upside / Downside-23.24%-19.61%-15.85%

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