Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Socionext Inc. (6526.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,104.24 - $2,592.69$1,624.07
Multi-Stage$4,637.09 - $5,119.87$4,873.65
Blended Fair Value$3,248.86
Current Price$2,776.00
Upside17.03%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%50.3362.740.000.730.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---19.78%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.81%1.63%0.00%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,072.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,928.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,144.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,014.401,259.00755.40
Cash Retained (M)1,144.001,144.001,144.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,014.40-1,259.00-755.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)-870.40-115.00388.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)177.88177.88177.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share-4.89-0.652.18
LTM Dividend per Share50.1950.1950.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share-4.89-0.652.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend45.3049.5452.38
WACC / Discount Rate2.02%2.02%2.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,104.24$1,624.07$2,592.69
Upside / Downside-60.22%-41.50%-6.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,072.009,971.289,871.579,772.859,675.129,578.379,865.72
Payout Ratio88.64%88.91%89.19%89.46%89.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,928.008,865.818,803.968,742.478,681.338,620.539,125.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.02%2.02%2.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8,602.478,690.258,778.03
Year 2 PV (M)8,288.748,458.768,630.51
Year 3 PV (M)7,986.378,233.358,485.38
Year 4 PV (M)7,694.968,013.888,342.62
Year 5 PV (M)7,414.127,800.198,202.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)784,866.94825,736.78868,291.72
Equity Value (M)824,853.61866,933.22910,730.43
Shares Outstanding (M)177.88177.88177.88
Fair Value$4,637.09$4,873.65$5,119.87
Upside / Downside67.04%75.56%84.43%

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