Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Silergy Corp. (6415.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$126.34 - $275.99$181.24
Multi-Stage$93.49 - $102.00$97.67
Blended Fair Value$139.46
Current Price$258.00
Upside-45.95%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.16%16.56%1.914.364.292.461.731.481.331.090.390.82
YoY Growth---56.28%1.74%74.22%42.14%16.76%11.18%22.01%180.80%-52.23%97.81%
Dividend Yield--0.51%1.29%0.89%0.29%0.30%0.60%1.12%0.67%0.28%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,563.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)930.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,633.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)512.76320.48192.29
Cash Retained (M)1,633.341,633.341,633.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-512.76-320.48-192.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,120.571,312.861,441.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)394.47394.47394.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.843.333.65
LTM Dividend per Share2.362.362.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.843.333.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.205.696.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$126.34$181.24$275.99
Upside / Downside-51.03%-29.75%6.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,563.812,730.462,907.943,096.953,298.253,512.643,618.02
Payout Ratio36.29%47.03%57.78%68.52%79.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)930.471,284.241,680.082,121.942,614.153,161.383,346.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,158.201,169.181,180.16
Year 2 PV (M)1,366.471,392.501,418.77
Year 3 PV (M)1,556.471,601.151,646.68
Year 4 PV (M)1,729.311,795.811,864.22
Year 5 PV (M)1,886.061,977.152,071.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,182.9030,592.4532,055.94
Equity Value (M)36,879.4038,528.2440,237.49
Shares Outstanding (M)394.47394.47394.47
Fair Value$93.49$97.67$102.00
Upside / Downside-63.76%-62.14%-60.46%

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