Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Daifuku Co., Ltd. (6383.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,397.31 - $9,733.65$6,337.26
Multi-Stage$3,238.46 - $3,533.54$3,383.34
Blended Fair Value$4,860.30
Current Price$4,743.00
Upside2.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.05%22.93%45.3636.3831.0927.8224.5629.4124.4717.3710.117.25
YoY Growth--24.68%16.99%11.77%13.30%-16.49%20.18%40.82%71.84%39.44%25.97%
Dividend Yield--1.22%1.21%1.06%1.08%0.73%0.94%1.19%1.07%0.90%1.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)85,843.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31,219.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)54,624.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,168.6010,730.386,438.23
Cash Retained (M)54,624.0054,624.0054,624.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,168.60-10,730.38-6,438.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)37,455.4043,893.6348,185.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)385.34385.34385.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share97.20113.91125.05
LTM Dividend per Share81.0281.0281.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share97.20113.91125.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend178.22194.93206.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,397.31$6,337.26$9,733.65
Upside / Downside-7.29%33.61%105.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)85,843.0091,422.8097,365.28103,694.02110,434.13117,612.35121,140.72
Payout Ratio36.37%47.09%57.82%68.55%79.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31,219.0043,054.6956,297.1271,079.1687,545.01105,851.11112,055.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)38,852.2939,220.5639,588.83
Year 2 PV (M)45,843.5846,716.7747,598.20
Year 3 PV (M)52,231.2953,730.6655,258.46
Year 4 PV (M)58,051.8460,284.3562,580.64
Year 5 PV (M)63,339.7266,399.0669,575.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)989,579.101,037,376.141,087,002.48
Equity Value (M)1,247,897.821,303,727.531,361,604.08
Shares Outstanding (M)385.34385.34385.34
Fair Value$3,238.46$3,383.34$3,533.54
Upside / Downside-31.72%-28.67%-25.50%

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