Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hosokawa Micron Corporation (6277.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51,532.68 - $60,714.23$56,898.13
Multi-Stage$36,313.71 - $39,847.78$38,047.76
Blended Fair Value$47,472.95
Current Price$5,820.00
Upside715.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS16.74%11.95%130.15101.6382.3481.9460.0260.0263.1255.1649.3642.28
YoY Growth--28.07%23.42%0.49%36.52%0.00%-4.91%14.43%11.75%16.75%0.48%
Dividend Yield--2.24%2.41%2.09%3.05%1.76%1.89%2.69%2.63%1.22%2.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,527.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,930.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,597.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)905.40565.88339.53
Cash Retained (M)2,597.002,597.002,597.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-905.40-565.88-339.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,691.602,031.132,257.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.8314.8314.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share114.08136.97152.24
LTM Dividend per Share130.15130.15130.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share114.08136.97152.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend244.23267.13282.39
WACC / Discount Rate1.62%1.62%1.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$51,532.68$56,898.13$60,714.23
Upside / Downside785.44%877.63%943.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,527.004,821.265,134.645,468.395,823.836,202.386,388.45
Payout Ratio42.63%52.11%61.58%71.05%80.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,930.002,512.193,161.903,885.474,689.745,582.145,909.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.62%1.62%1.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,449.012,472.232,495.44
Year 2 PV (M)3,004.883,062.123,119.89
Year 3 PV (M)3,599.663,703.003,808.29
Year 4 PV (M)4,235.524,398.404,565.94
Year 5 PV (M)4,914.725,152.105,398.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)520,277.68545,407.28571,498.66
Equity Value (M)538,481.48564,195.13590,886.80
Shares Outstanding (M)14.8314.8314.83
Fair Value$36,313.71$38,047.76$39,847.78
Upside / Downside523.95%553.74%584.67%

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