Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Li Kang Biomedical Co., Ltd. (6242.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.92 - $76.16$54.50
Multi-Stage$65.19 - $71.49$68.28
Blended Fair Value$61.39
Current Price$40.50
Upside51.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.46%0.00%2.501.471.051.961.401.750.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--70.56%40.00%-46.43%40.00%-20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.83%2.71%2.02%6.15%4.20%7.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)82.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)63.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.4110.256.15
Cash Retained (M)18.4318.4318.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.41-10.25-6.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.028.1712.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.7831.7831.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.260.39
LTM Dividend per Share2.002.002.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.260.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.062.262.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate1.19%2.19%3.19%
Fair Value$39.92$54.50$76.16
Upside / Downside-1.44%34.57%88.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)82.0483.8485.6787.5589.4791.4394.18
Payout Ratio77.54%80.03%82.52%85.02%87.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)63.6167.1070.7074.4378.3082.2987.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate1.19%2.19%3.19%
Year 1 PV (M)62.4363.0463.66
Year 2 PV (M)61.2162.4263.65
Year 3 PV (M)59.9561.7563.58
Year 4 PV (M)58.6761.0363.45
Year 5 PV (M)57.3860.2763.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,772.341,861.671,954.55
Equity Value (M)2,071.982,170.172,272.17
Shares Outstanding (M)31.7831.7831.78
Fair Value$65.19$68.28$71.49
Upside / Downside60.97%68.60%76.52%

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