Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Systex Corporation (6214.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$268.05 - $1,342.31$559.10
Multi-Stage$180.25 - $197.05$188.49
Blended Fair Value$373.80
Current Price$121.00
Upside208.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.70%5.90%5.205.004.154.954.953.762.473.462.471.47
YoY Growth--3.98%20.33%-16.00%0.00%31.58%52.00%-28.57%40.00%67.91%-49.74%
Dividend Yield--4.11%4.22%5.27%6.11%5.65%5.11%3.64%5.40%3.84%2.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,852.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,415.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)436.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)370.42231.51138.91
Cash Retained (M)436.43436.43436.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-370.42-231.51-138.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)66.01204.92297.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)272.36272.36272.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.751.09
LTM Dividend per Share5.205.205.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.751.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.445.956.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate4.70%5.70%6.70%
Fair Value$268.05$559.10$1,342.31
Upside / Downside121.53%362.07%1,009.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,852.081,957.652,069.242,187.182,311.852,443.632,516.94
Payout Ratio76.44%79.15%81.86%84.57%87.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,415.651,549.451,693.911,849.792,017.952,199.262,328.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate4.70%5.70%6.70%
Year 1 PV (M)1,436.741,450.461,464.18
Year 2 PV (M)1,456.431,484.381,512.60
Year 3 PV (M)1,474.761,517.421,560.90
Year 4 PV (M)1,491.791,549.601,609.08
Year 5 PV (M)1,507.561,580.941,657.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,724.5943,755.6045,864.93
Equity Value (M)49,091.8651,338.4053,668.85
Shares Outstanding (M)272.36272.36272.36
Fair Value$180.25$188.49$197.05
Upside / Downside48.96%55.78%62.85%

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