Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Charm Care Corporation (6062.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,571.21 - $17,853.77$16,731.60
Multi-Stage$2,623.50 - $2,871.89$2,745.41
Blended Fair Value$9,738.51
Current Price$1,296.00
Upside651.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS47.59%44.64%29.9721.9216.9411.966.484.282.151.500.750.75
YoY Growth--36.68%29.42%41.65%84.60%51.39%99.26%43.53%99.18%0.79%-0.31%
Dividend Yield--2.31%1.60%1.45%1.14%0.36%0.36%0.20%0.17%0.14%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,936.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)979.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,957.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)587.20367.00220.20
Cash Retained (M)1,957.001,957.001,957.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-587.20-367.00-220.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,369.801,590.001,736.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.7032.7032.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share41.8848.6253.11
LTM Dividend per Share29.9329.9329.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share41.8848.6253.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend71.8278.5583.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,571.21$16,731.60$17,853.77
Upside / Downside484.20%1,191.02%1,277.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,936.003,126.843,330.083,546.543,777.074,022.574,143.25
Payout Ratio33.34%44.68%56.01%67.34%78.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)979.001,396.941,865.072,388.162,971.383,620.323,832.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,299.351,311.671,323.99
Year 2 PV (M)1,613.601,644.341,675.36
Year 3 PV (M)1,921.831,977.002,033.21
Year 4 PV (M)2,224.122,309.652,397.63
Year 5 PV (M)2,520.562,642.312,768.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)76,220.6279,902.1183,724.49
Equity Value (M)85,800.0989,787.0893,923.40
Shares Outstanding (M)32.7032.7032.70
Fair Value$2,623.50$2,745.41$2,871.89
Upside / Downside102.43%111.84%121.60%

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