Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

CoCreation Grass Co., Ltd (605099.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$122.95 - $314.52$294.75
Multi-Stage$45.30 - $49.57$47.39
Blended Fair Value$171.07
Current Price$30.90
Upside453.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162013
DPS27.53%21.15%0.540.560.470.500.150.160.230.460.040.02
YoY Growth---4.10%18.58%-5.62%231.23%-5.11%-29.09%-51.22%965.60%96.11%-72.06%
Dividend Yield--2.62%2.63%2.08%1.87%0.54%0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)632.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)257.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)375.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)126.5779.1147.46
Cash Retained (M)375.80375.80375.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-126.57-79.11-47.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)249.23296.69328.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.16400.16400.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.740.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.740.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.271.381.46
WACC / Discount Rate6.59%6.59%6.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$122.95$294.75$314.52
Upside / Downside297.88%853.89%917.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)632.85673.98717.79764.45814.14867.06893.07
Payout Ratio40.62%50.49%60.37%70.25%80.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)257.05340.32433.34537.00652.32780.35826.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.59%6.59%6.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)316.30319.30322.29
Year 2 PV (M)374.31381.44388.64
Year 3 PV (M)431.11443.49456.10
Year 4 PV (M)486.71505.43524.68
Year 5 PV (M)541.14567.28594.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,976.2916,747.9517,549.15
Equity Value (M)18,125.8718,964.8919,835.28
Shares Outstanding (M)400.16400.16400.16
Fair Value$45.30$47.39$49.57
Upside / Downside46.59%53.38%60.42%

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