Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

GSP Automotive Group Wenzhou Co.,Ltd. (605088.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$257.91 - $303.86$284.76
Multi-Stage$200.56 - $220.09$210.14
Blended Fair Value$247.45
Current Price$40.00
Upside518.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS57.92%30.71%0.630.420.250.170.250.060.070.140.180.07
YoY Growth--48.36%68.13%47.72%-32.48%294.79%-5.45%-50.71%-24.61%160.80%61.79%
Dividend Yield--1.67%1.80%1.30%1.27%1.45%0.28%0.30%0.61%0.81%0.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)302.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)127.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)175.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)60.4437.7822.67
Cash Retained (M)175.15175.15175.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-60.44-37.78-22.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)114.71137.37152.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)197.79197.79197.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.580.690.77
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.580.690.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.221.341.41
WACC / Discount Rate-0.39%-0.39%-0.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$257.91$284.76$303.86
Upside / Downside544.77%611.90%659.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)302.20321.84342.76365.04388.77414.04426.46
Payout Ratio42.04%51.63%61.23%70.82%80.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)127.05166.18209.86258.51312.60372.64394.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.39%-0.39%-0.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)165.26166.83168.40
Year 2 PV (M)207.55211.51215.50
Year 3 PV (M)254.26261.56269.00
Year 4 PV (M)305.77317.53329.63
Year 5 PV (M)362.48379.99398.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,373.0340,226.4642,150.83
Equity Value (M)39,668.3641,563.8843,531.52
Shares Outstanding (M)197.79197.79197.79
Fair Value$200.56$210.14$220.09
Upside / Downside401.39%425.35%450.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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