Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Changzhou Aohong Electronics Co., Ltd. (605058.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$88.59 - $192.94$180.69
Multi-Stage$98.73 - $109.07$103.80
Blended Fair Value$142.24
Current Price$29.63
Upside380.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-32.56%0.00%0.310.300.300.100.312.210.000.610.000.00
YoY Growth--2.12%0.00%200.00%-67.58%-85.95%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.27%1.68%1.38%0.50%1.38%8.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)147.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)86.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.6018.5011.10
Cash Retained (M)61.6161.6161.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.60-18.50-11.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.0243.1150.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)141.88141.88141.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.300.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.300.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.830.910.96
WACC / Discount Rate-1.08%-1.08%-1.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$88.59$180.69$192.94
Upside / Downside198.97%509.82%551.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)147.98146.50145.03143.58142.14140.72144.94
Payout Ratio58.36%64.69%71.02%77.35%83.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)86.3694.77103.00111.05118.94126.65134.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.08%-1.08%-1.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)94.8395.8096.77
Year 2 PV (M)103.14105.25107.39
Year 3 PV (M)111.28114.72118.23
Year 4 PV (M)119.26124.20129.30
Year 5 PV (M)127.08133.70140.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,452.7714,153.2914,882.69
Equity Value (M)14,008.3614,726.9615,474.96
Shares Outstanding (M)141.88141.88141.88
Fair Value$98.73$103.80$109.07
Upside / Downside233.22%250.31%268.10%

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