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Yongjin Technology Group Co., Ltd. (603995.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$176.59 - $353.15$330.95
Multi-Stage$55.61 - $60.81$58.16
Blended Fair Value$194.56
Current Price$17.59
Upside1,006.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS41.51%0.00%0.780.500.490.430.430.140.180.090.150.13
YoY Growth--54.84%2.00%14.28%1.07%211.12%-23.82%90.24%-35.74%14.48%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.86%3.06%1.68%1.14%1.98%0.95%0.81%0.42%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)671.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)463.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)207.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)134.2483.9050.34
Cash Retained (M)207.40207.40207.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-134.24-83.90-50.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)73.16123.50157.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)377.99377.99377.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.330.42
LTM Dividend per Share1.231.231.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.330.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.421.551.64
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$176.59$330.95$353.15
Upside / Downside903.94%1,781.47%1,907.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)671.20714.83761.29810.77863.47919.60947.19
Payout Ratio69.10%73.28%77.46%81.64%85.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)463.80523.83589.70661.92741.04827.64876.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)487.93492.56497.18
Year 2 PV (M)511.65521.39531.23
Year 3 PV (M)534.95550.31565.96
Year 4 PV (M)557.86579.31601.38
Year 5 PV (M)580.36608.39637.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,346.7119,232.8620,152.93
Equity Value (M)21,019.4621,984.8222,986.17
Shares Outstanding (M)377.99377.99377.99
Fair Value$55.61$58.16$60.81
Upside / Downside216.14%230.66%245.72%

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