Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zhejiang Tieliu Clutch Co., Ltd. (603926.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.12 - $89.68$84.05
Multi-Stage$63.19 - $69.33$66.20
Blended Fair Value$75.12
Current Price$17.64
Upside325.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.97%0.84%0.430.110.160.380.210.140.610.010.120.12
YoY Growth--287.60%-30.27%-57.94%79.21%55.72%-77.65%10,362.91%-95.06%-1.05%-70.00%
Dividend Yield--4.21%0.95%1.69%3.59%2.40%1.51%5.94%0.04%0.68%0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)101.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)67.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.3512.727.63
Cash Retained (M)33.7533.7533.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.35-12.72-7.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.4121.0426.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)225.59225.59225.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.090.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.090.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.42
WACC / Discount Rate-1.61%-1.61%-1.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$76.12$84.05$89.68
Upside / Downside331.52%376.45%408.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)101.73108.34115.38122.88130.87139.38143.56
Payout Ratio66.82%71.46%76.09%80.73%85.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)67.9877.4287.8099.20111.72125.44132.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.61%-1.61%-1.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)77.9578.6979.43
Year 2 PV (M)89.0190.7092.41
Year 3 PV (M)101.26104.17107.13
Year 4 PV (M)114.82119.23123.77
Year 5 PV (M)129.80136.07142.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,741.0814,404.7815,093.88
Equity Value (M)14,253.9114,933.6415,639.20
Shares Outstanding (M)225.59225.59225.59
Fair Value$63.19$66.20$69.33
Upside / Downside258.20%275.28%293.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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