Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

G-bits Network Technology (Xiamen) Co., Ltd. (603444.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$392.01 - $831.88$556.62
Multi-Stage$289.39 - $315.90$302.41
Blended Fair Value$429.51
Current Price$568.00
Upside-24.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.28%22.64%6.4910.1429.8511.995.009.992.664.130.630.42
YoY Growth---36.04%-66.03%148.89%140.00%-49.99%275.69%-35.53%556.40%48.79%-49.87%
Dividend Yield--2.91%5.16%6.26%3.33%1.34%2.44%1.27%2.40%0.20%0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,501.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)394.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,106.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)300.31187.69112.62
Cash Retained (M)1,106.891,106.891,106.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-300.31-187.69-112.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)806.58919.20994.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.9071.9071.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.2212.7813.83
LTM Dividend per Share5.495.495.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.2212.7813.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.7118.2719.32
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$392.01$556.62$831.88
Upside / Downside-30.98%-2.00%46.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,501.551,599.161,703.101,813.801,931.702,057.262,118.98
Payout Ratio26.28%39.03%51.77%64.51%77.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)394.66624.10881.701,170.141,492.371,851.531,960.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)562.05567.38572.71
Year 2 PV (M)715.10728.72742.47
Year 3 PV (M)854.70879.23904.23
Year 4 PV (M)981.691,019.441,058.27
Year 5 PV (M)1,096.871,149.851,204.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,596.5017,398.1218,230.42
Equity Value (M)20,806.9121,742.7422,712.96
Shares Outstanding (M)71.9071.9071.90
Fair Value$289.39$302.41$315.90
Upside / Downside-49.05%-46.76%-44.38%

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