Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cisen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (603367.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.43 - $22.52$17.42
Multi-Stage$14.05 - $15.34$14.68
Blended Fair Value$16.05
Current Price$20.56
Upside-21.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.72%19.04%0.680.350.310.270.620.260.160.120.120.12
YoY Growth--95.07%11.89%15.58%-56.88%135.72%65.41%34.61%-4.52%1.30%3.49%
Dividend Yield--4.94%2.35%2.17%2.04%4.75%1.57%0.87%0.44%0.74%0.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)492.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)203.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)289.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)98.5661.6036.96
Cash Retained (M)289.52289.52289.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-98.56-61.60-36.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)190.96227.92252.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)450.35450.35450.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.510.56
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.510.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.880.961.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate3.24%4.24%5.24%
Fair Value$13.43$17.42$22.52
Upside / Downside-34.69%-15.29%9.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)492.80513.71535.51558.24581.93606.62624.82
Payout Ratio41.25%51.00%60.75%70.50%80.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)203.28261.99325.32393.56466.99545.96577.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate3.24%4.24%5.24%
Year 1 PV (M)235.94238.23240.51
Year 2 PV (M)263.85268.98274.17
Year 3 PV (M)287.45295.89304.49
Year 4 PV (M)307.18319.26331.68
Year 5 PV (M)323.42339.39355.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,908.765,151.145,402.99
Equity Value (M)6,326.616,612.886,909.83
Shares Outstanding (M)450.35450.35450.35
Fair Value$14.05$14.68$15.34
Upside / Downside-31.67%-28.58%-25.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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