Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Nantong Haixing Electronics Co., Ltd. (603115.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$139.30 - $164.12$153.81
Multi-Stage$95.93 - $105.23$100.49
Blended Fair Value$127.15
Current Price$18.94
Upside571.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.24%20.45%0.480.730.730.630.640.430.270.210.010.01
YoY Growth---33.33%-0.24%14.65%-0.54%47.30%58.67%28.37%2,016.46%-1.94%-86.39%
Dividend Yield--3.35%5.83%4.14%2.97%4.25%2.53%1.86%1.45%0.07%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)203.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)143.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)60.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.8025.5015.30
Cash Retained (M)60.1160.1160.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.80-25.50-15.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.3134.6144.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)247.19247.19247.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.140.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.140.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.660.720.76
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$139.30$153.81$164.12
Upside / Downside635.49%712.07%766.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)203.99217.25231.37246.41262.43279.48287.87
Payout Ratio70.53%74.43%78.32%82.21%86.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)143.88161.69181.21202.58225.97251.54266.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)156.73158.22159.70
Year 2 PV (M)170.26173.50176.78
Year 3 PV (M)184.50189.80195.20
Year 4 PV (M)199.49207.16215.05
Year 5 PV (M)215.24225.64236.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,785.9623,886.5325,029.22
Equity Value (M)23,712.1824,840.8426,012.38
Shares Outstanding (M)247.19247.19247.19
Fair Value$95.93$100.49$105.23
Upside / Downside406.49%430.60%455.62%

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