Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Chongqing Chuanyi Automation Co., Ltd. (603100.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$239.12 - $281.73$264.02
Multi-Stage$168.11 - $184.47$176.14
Blended Fair Value$220.08
Current Price$23.93
Upside819.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.47%21.26%0.630.520.520.280.220.250.200.150.100.10
YoY Growth--21.95%0.15%82.34%28.00%-11.00%24.11%29.59%57.33%0.00%7.12%
Dividend Yield--2.95%2.31%1.79%2.57%1.94%3.77%2.34%1.94%0.91%0.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)681.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)291.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)390.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)136.3385.2151.12
Cash Retained (M)390.09390.09390.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-136.33-85.21-51.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)253.76304.88338.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)481.18481.18481.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.630.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.630.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.131.241.31
WACC / Discount Rate1.66%1.66%1.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$239.12$264.02$281.73
Upside / Downside899.25%1,003.29%1,077.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)681.64725.95773.14823.39876.91933.91961.93
Payout Ratio42.77%52.22%61.66%71.11%80.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)291.56379.08476.74585.51706.39840.52889.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.66%1.66%1.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)369.37372.87376.37
Year 2 PV (M)452.64461.26469.97
Year 3 PV (M)541.67557.22573.06
Year 4 PV (M)636.77661.26686.45
Year 5 PV (M)738.28773.94810.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)78,155.0181,929.9385,849.32
Equity Value (M)80,893.7584,756.4888,766.13
Shares Outstanding (M)481.18481.18481.18
Fair Value$168.11$176.14$184.47
Upside / Downside602.52%636.07%670.89%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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