Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

YAPP Automotive Systems Co., Ltd. (603013.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.22 - $8.65$7.43
Multi-Stage$10.07 - $11.05$10.55
Blended Fair Value$8.99
Current Price$26.00
Upside-65.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.45%10.39%0.450.550.710.720.550.510.140.440.310.07
YoY Growth---17.10%-22.97%-0.93%29.40%7.94%267.29%-68.51%40.86%369.52%-60.25%
Dividend Yield--2.73%3.32%4.55%4.98%4.13%3.44%0.76%2.64%1.87%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)543.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)205.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)337.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108.6767.9240.75
Cash Retained (M)337.70337.70337.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-108.67-67.92-40.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)229.03269.78296.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)514.30514.30514.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.520.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.520.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.920.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-3.19%-2.19%-1.19%
Fair Value$6.22$7.43$8.65
Upside / Downside-76.09%-71.41%-66.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)543.37531.46519.81508.41497.27486.36500.96
Payout Ratio37.85%48.28%58.71%69.14%79.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)205.67256.59305.18351.52395.68437.73463.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-3.19%-2.19%-1.19%
Year 1 PV (M)230.94233.33235.71
Year 2 PV (M)247.21252.35257.53
Year 3 PV (M)256.28264.31272.50
Year 4 PV (M)259.64270.53281.77
Year 5 PV (M)258.52272.15286.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,925.674,132.664,348.29
Equity Value (M)5,178.275,425.335,682.15
Shares Outstanding (M)514.30514.30514.30
Fair Value$10.07$10.55$11.05
Upside / Downside-61.28%-59.43%-57.51%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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