Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

China Coal Xinji Energy Co.,Ltd (601918.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: CoalSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.05 - $155.77$145.97
Multi-Stage$31.56 - $34.62$33.06
Blended Fair Value$89.51
Current Price$6.23
Upside1,336.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.23%0.58%0.330.290.280.300.350.350.360.380.390.34
YoY Growth--15.14%5.19%-9.43%-12.42%-2.14%-2.37%-4.30%-3.05%13.52%9.55%
Dividend Yield--4.87%3.38%6.67%5.20%10.81%13.04%10.26%11.86%7.80%5.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,045.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)383.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,661.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)409.04255.65153.39
Cash Retained (M)1,661.311,661.311,661.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-409.04-255.65-153.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,252.271,405.661,507.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,590.542,590.542,590.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.540.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.540.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.73
WACC / Discount Rate5.48%5.48%5.48%
Growth Rate4.65%5.65%6.65%
Fair Value$80.05$145.97$155.77
Upside / Downside1,184.90%2,242.98%2,400.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,045.202,160.782,282.892,411.912,548.212,692.222,772.99
Payout Ratio18.77%33.02%47.26%61.51%75.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)383.88713.401,078.941,483.521,930.372,423.002,565.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.48%5.48%5.48%
Growth Rate4.65%5.65%6.65%
Year 1 PV (M)669.96676.36682.76
Year 2 PV (M)951.53969.80988.24
Year 3 PV (M)1,228.651,264.211,300.44
Year 4 PV (M)1,501.371,559.581,619.47
Year 5 PV (M)1,769.751,855.941,945.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)75,632.3079,315.5683,140.94
Equity Value (M)81,753.5585,641.4489,677.30
Shares Outstanding (M)2,590.542,590.542,590.54
Fair Value$31.56$33.06$34.62
Upside / Downside406.56%430.65%455.65%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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