Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Joeone Co., Ltd. (601566.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.49 - $4.91$4.19
Multi-Stage$31.68 - $35.27$33.44
Blended Fair Value$18.82
Current Price$8.65
Upside117.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-21.09%-7.71%0.310.120.530.530.671.031.011.010.500.99
YoY Growth--156.75%-77.11%0.06%-19.83%-35.11%1.84%0.09%99.49%-49.23%41.91%
Dividend Yield--3.70%1.21%5.16%5.16%5.96%9.95%6.93%6.83%2.97%6.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)351.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)175.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)175.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.2643.9126.35
Cash Retained (M)175.56175.56175.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.26-43.91-26.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)105.30131.65149.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)577.87577.87577.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.230.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.230.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate2.87%2.87%2.87%
Growth Rate-9.71%-8.71%-7.71%
Fair Value$3.49$4.19$4.91
Upside / Downside-59.64%-51.51%-43.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)351.31320.71292.78267.28244.00222.75229.43
Payout Ratio50.03%58.02%66.02%74.01%82.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)175.75186.08193.28197.82200.09200.48212.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.87%2.87%2.87%
Growth Rate-9.71%-8.71%-7.71%
Year 1 PV (M)178.91180.89182.87
Year 2 PV (M)178.67182.65186.67
Year 3 PV (M)175.82181.72187.76
Year 4 PV (M)170.99178.69186.65
Year 5 PV (M)164.71174.04183.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,436.8618,424.0919,455.53
Equity Value (M)18,305.9619,322.0820,383.27
Shares Outstanding (M)577.87577.87577.87
Fair Value$31.68$33.44$35.27
Upside / Downside266.22%286.55%307.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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