Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

CATRION Catering Holding Company (6004.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.89 - $19.64$17.37
Multi-Stage$43.40 - $48.11$45.70
Blended Fair Value$31.54
Current Price$99.45
Upside-68.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-19.90%-10.17%2.251.500.000.001.386.833.975.446.886.89
YoY Growth--50.44%315,846.96%-51.48%-99.93%-79.81%72.19%-27.15%-20.90%-0.08%4.64%
Dividend Yield--1.88%1.18%0.00%0.00%1.81%9.05%4.90%6.59%7.66%6.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)335.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)187.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)148.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.1941.9925.19
Cash Retained (M)148.15148.15148.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.19-41.99-25.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)80.96106.16122.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)82.0082.0082.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.991.291.50
LTM Dividend per Share2.292.292.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.991.291.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.283.583.79
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate-12.17%-11.17%-10.17%
Fair Value$14.89$17.37$19.64
Upside / Downside-85.03%-82.53%-80.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)335.93298.39265.04235.42209.12185.75191.32
Payout Ratio55.90%62.72%69.54%76.36%83.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)187.78187.14184.31179.77173.94167.17176.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate-12.17%-11.17%-10.17%
Year 1 PV (M)172.68174.65176.62
Year 2 PV (M)156.93160.52164.16
Year 3 PV (M)141.24146.11151.11
Year 4 PV (M)126.10131.94137.98
Year 5 PV (M)111.83118.34125.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,850.153,016.153,189.80
Equity Value (M)3,558.923,747.723,944.81
Shares Outstanding (M)82.0082.0082.00
Fair Value$43.40$45.70$48.11
Upside / Downside-56.36%-54.04%-51.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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