Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Henan Pinggao Electric Co.,Ltd. (600312.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$142.87 - $168.32$157.74
Multi-Stage$97.06 - $106.51$101.70
Blended Fair Value$129.72
Current Price$16.78
Upside673.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.12%16.88%0.350.070.040.060.110.160.230.680.480.48
YoY Growth--425.76%81.88%-41.13%-45.24%-28.51%-30.38%-66.11%40.81%1.46%540.22%
Dividend Yield--2.03%0.48%0.38%0.78%1.68%1.97%2.63%7.48%2.86%3.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,148.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)393.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)754.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)229.70143.5686.14
Cash Retained (M)754.76754.76754.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-229.70-143.56-86.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)525.06611.20668.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,356.961,356.961,356.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate2.34%2.34%2.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$142.87$157.74$168.32
Upside / Downside751.42%840.06%903.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,148.491,223.151,302.651,387.321,477.501,573.541,620.74
Payout Ratio34.28%45.43%56.57%67.71%78.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)393.74555.63736.91939.401,165.111,416.181,499.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.34%2.34%2.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)537.83542.93548.03
Year 2 PV (M)690.46703.61716.89
Year 3 PV (M)852.00876.46901.38
Year 4 PV (M)1,022.871,062.201,102.66
Year 5 PV (M)1,203.471,261.601,321.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)127,401.08133,554.60139,943.62
Equity Value (M)131,707.71138,001.41144,534.54
Shares Outstanding (M)1,356.961,356.961,356.96
Fair Value$97.06$101.70$106.51
Upside / Downside478.43%506.07%534.76%

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