Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Guodian Nanjing Automation Co., Ltd. (600268.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.15 - $20.92$13.33
Multi-Stage$6.64 - $7.24$6.93
Blended Fair Value$10.13
Current Price$10.23
Upside-0.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.16%4.51%0.090.070.120.070.090.030.140.160.220.27
YoY Growth--20.40%-36.66%60.84%-18.52%219.77%-80.20%-11.54%-26.53%-18.87%365.93%
Dividend Yield--1.23%1.21%2.06%1.19%1.80%0.68%2.58%3.98%3.88%5.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)446.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)150.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)295.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)89.2755.8033.48
Cash Retained (M)295.60295.60295.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-89.27-55.80-33.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)206.33239.81262.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)998.77998.77998.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9.15$13.33$20.92
Upside / Downside-10.60%30.29%104.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)446.37475.39506.29539.20574.25611.57629.92
Payout Ratio33.78%45.02%56.27%67.51%78.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)150.77214.03284.87364.02452.25550.41582.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)193.40195.24197.07
Year 2 PV (M)232.61237.04241.52
Year 3 PV (M)268.60276.31284.17
Year 4 PV (M)301.55313.14325.07
Year 5 PV (M)331.64347.66364.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,299.525,555.495,821.26
Equity Value (M)6,627.326,924.887,233.37
Shares Outstanding (M)998.77998.77998.77
Fair Value$6.64$6.93$7.24
Upside / Downside-35.14%-32.22%-29.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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