Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co.,Ltd. (600035.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.35 - $82.72$77.52
Multi-Stage$13.58 - $14.85$14.20
Blended Fair Value$45.86
Current Price$3.95
Upside1,061.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.63%4.37%0.340.310.340.260.370.220.250.230.200.20
YoY Growth--10.68%-7.82%30.18%-30.17%70.74%-13.92%9.35%12.63%2.53%-10.92%
Dividend Yield--7.86%7.15%9.65%7.72%12.68%6.78%6.56%5.45%3.50%3.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)673.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)449.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)223.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)134.6784.1750.50
Cash Retained (M)223.93223.93223.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-134.67-84.17-50.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)89.26139.76173.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,618.841,618.841,618.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.090.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.090.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate6.21%6.21%6.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.35$77.52$82.72
Upside / Downside1,149.44%1,862.54%1,994.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)673.33717.10763.71813.35866.22922.53950.20
Payout Ratio66.74%71.40%76.05%80.70%85.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)449.41511.97580.77656.36739.31830.27878.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.21%6.21%6.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)477.51482.03486.56
Year 2 PV (M)505.21514.83524.55
Year 3 PV (M)532.52547.81563.38
Year 4 PV (M)559.44580.96603.08
Year 5 PV (M)585.98614.28643.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,316.8520,249.8621,218.58
Equity Value (M)21,977.5022,989.7724,039.82
Shares Outstanding (M)1,618.841,618.841,618.84
Fair Value$13.58$14.20$14.85
Upside / Downside243.70%259.53%275.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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