Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hong Leong Bank Berhad (5819.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.32 - $187.17$91.82
Multi-Stage$37.68 - $41.22$39.42
Blended Fair Value$65.62
Current Price$19.60
Upside234.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.30%7.22%0.710.630.580.530.350.500.480.460.410.37
YoY Growth--12.73%8.66%9.02%53.06%-30.42%4.20%4.36%12.20%9.55%5.63%
Dividend Yield--3.60%2.91%2.96%2.58%1.83%3.30%2.91%2.22%2.57%2.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,273.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)574.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,699.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)854.69534.18320.51
Cash Retained (M)3,699.433,699.433,699.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-854.69-534.18-320.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,844.743,165.253,378.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,061.272,061.272,061.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.381.541.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.381.541.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.661.811.92
WACC / Discount Rate8.32%8.32%8.32%
Growth Rate5.22%6.22%7.22%
Fair Value$56.32$91.82$187.17
Upside / Downside187.35%368.47%854.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,273.444,539.314,821.715,121.695,440.325,778.785,952.15
Payout Ratio13.43%28.75%44.06%59.37%74.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)574.011,304.852,124.413,040.894,063.185,200.905,505.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.32%8.32%8.32%
Growth Rate5.22%6.22%7.22%
Year 1 PV (M)1,193.291,204.631,215.97
Year 2 PV (M)1,776.671,810.601,844.85
Year 3 PV (M)2,325.692,392.632,460.85
Year 4 PV (M)2,841.852,951.443,064.16
Year 5 PV (M)3,326.583,487.693,654.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)66,195.8569,401.7772,730.71
Equity Value (M)77,659.9381,248.7584,971.51
Shares Outstanding (M)2,061.272,061.272,061.27
Fair Value$37.68$39.42$41.22
Upside / Downside92.22%101.11%110.32%

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