Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Farglory F T Z Investment Holding Co.,Ltd. (5607.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.85 - $140.77$85.06
Multi-Stage$40.55 - $44.26$42.37
Blended Fair Value$63.72
Current Price$51.70
Upside23.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS34.81%0.00%0.810.881.100.740.620.180.090.000.000.00
YoY Growth---7.92%-19.41%47.83%20.00%238.24%100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.16%1.72%2.04%1.60%2.59%1.16%0.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)957.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)399.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)557.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)191.41119.6371.78
Cash Retained (M)557.43557.43557.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-191.41-119.63-71.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)366.02437.80485.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)372.45372.45372.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.181.30
LTM Dividend per Share1.071.071.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.181.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.062.252.38
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$56.85$85.06$140.77
Upside / Downside9.95%64.53%172.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)957.041,019.251,085.501,156.061,231.201,311.231,350.57
Payout Ratio41.76%51.40%61.05%70.70%80.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)399.62523.94662.73817.36989.291,180.111,249.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)474.79479.29483.79
Year 2 PV (M)544.23554.60565.06
Year 3 PV (M)608.25625.71643.50
Year 4 PV (M)667.13692.79719.18
Year 5 PV (M)721.17756.00792.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,088.9712,672.8813,279.13
Equity Value (M)15,104.5415,781.2616,482.82
Shares Outstanding (M)372.45372.45372.45
Fair Value$40.55$42.37$44.26
Upside / Downside-21.56%-18.04%-14.40%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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