Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust (5212.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.15 - $23.39$7.88
Multi-Stage$2.83 - $3.10$2.96
Blended Fair Value$5.42
Current Price$1.82
Upside197.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.44%3.91%0.090.070.050.040.050.070.070.060.070.07
YoY Growth--23.37%33.07%53.38%-23.70%-35.32%2.74%7.50%-2.95%1.23%8.89%
Dividend Yield--6.05%5.63%4.04%2.68%3.31%4.53%3.85%4.73%3.84%3.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)444.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)176.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)268.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)88.8755.5533.33
Cash Retained (M)268.28268.28268.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-88.87-55.55-33.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)179.41212.74234.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,750.623,750.623,750.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.73%5.73%6.73%
Fair Value$4.15$7.88$23.39
Upside / Downside128.18%333.16%1,185.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)444.36469.85496.79525.28555.41587.26604.88
Payout Ratio39.63%49.70%59.78%69.85%79.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)176.08233.51296.96366.91443.91528.53559.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.73%5.73%6.73%
Year 1 PV (M)215.92217.98220.04
Year 2 PV (M)253.90258.77263.69
Year 3 PV (M)290.07298.46307.01
Year 4 PV (M)324.50337.07350.01
Year 5 PV (M)357.25374.64392.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,167.499,613.5810,076.87
Equity Value (M)10,609.1311,100.5011,610.31
Shares Outstanding (M)3,750.623,750.623,750.62
Fair Value$2.83$2.96$3.10
Upside / Downside55.42%62.62%70.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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