Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

Gloria Material Technology Corp. (5009.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$227.40 - $587.70$550.76
Multi-Stage$86.51 - $94.55$90.46
Blended Fair Value$320.61
Current Price$34.65
Upside825.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS51.04%20.99%2.301.900.980.260.330.290.200.260.410.55
YoY Growth--20.53%95.16%280.45%-21.12%11.37%47.08%-24.60%-35.49%-25.31%59.98%
Dividend Yield--5.11%3.84%1.90%1.01%1.91%1.91%0.96%1.27%2.00%3.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,888.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,466.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)421.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)377.72236.08141.65
Cash Retained (M)421.62421.62421.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-377.72-236.08-141.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.90185.54279.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)639.10639.10639.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.290.44
LTM Dividend per Share2.302.302.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.290.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.362.592.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$227.40$550.76$587.70
Upside / Downside556.29%1,489.49%1,596.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,888.612,011.372,142.112,281.342,429.632,587.562,665.18
Payout Ratio77.68%80.14%82.61%85.07%87.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,466.991,611.921,769.501,940.752,126.782,328.802,465.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,497.971,512.171,526.36
Year 2 PV (M)1,528.151,557.261,586.64
Year 3 PV (M)1,557.561,602.271,647.83
Year 4 PV (M)1,586.201,647.201,709.94
Year 5 PV (M)1,614.081,692.051,772.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,506.0349,800.5952,182.97
Equity Value (M)55,290.0057,811.5460,426.74
Shares Outstanding (M)639.10639.10639.10
Fair Value$86.51$90.46$94.55
Upside / Downside149.68%161.06%172.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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