Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Theeb Rent A Car Company (4261.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$232.86 - $882.47$679.75
Multi-Stage$109.93 - $120.25$114.99
Blended Fair Value$397.37
Current Price$67.10
Upside492.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.67%0.00%1.931.822.150.910.701.160.660.301.030.00
YoY Growth--6.04%-15.35%136.26%30.43%-40.00%76.99%117.31%-70.79%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.75%2.64%2.74%1.38%1.24%2.24%1.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)190.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)120.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.1623.8514.31
Cash Retained (M)120.28120.28120.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.16-23.85-14.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)82.1296.43105.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.0043.0043.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.912.242.46
LTM Dividend per Share1.641.641.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.912.242.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.553.884.10
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$232.86$679.75$882.47
Upside / Downside247.03%913.04%1,215.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)190.80203.21216.41230.48245.46261.42269.26
Payout Ratio36.96%47.57%58.18%68.78%79.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.5296.66125.90158.53194.88235.28249.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)89.4090.2591.09
Year 2 PV (M)107.69109.74111.81
Year 3 PV (M)125.42129.02132.69
Year 4 PV (M)142.59148.07153.71
Year 5 PV (M)159.21166.90174.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,102.514,300.664,506.40
Equity Value (M)4,726.824,944.645,170.59
Shares Outstanding (M)43.0043.0043.00
Fair Value$109.93$114.99$120.25
Upside / Downside63.82%71.37%79.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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