Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

All Cosmos Bio-Tech Holding Corporation (4148.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.75 - $22.97$19.24
Multi-Stage$23.36 - $25.63$24.47
Blended Fair Value$21.86
Current Price$39.30
Upside-44.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.06%-6.47%0.972.411.450.970.972.322.561.830.851.28
YoY Growth---60.00%66.67%50.00%0.00%-58.33%-9.43%39.69%115.00%-33.33%-32.20%
Dividend Yield--2.40%4.94%2.31%1.62%2.80%11.21%4.66%1.49%1.25%1.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)137.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)105.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.5817.2410.34
Cash Retained (M)105.90105.90105.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.58-17.24-10.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)78.3288.6695.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)66.3366.3366.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.181.341.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.181.341.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.661.821.92
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate-1.02%-0.02%0.98%
Fair Value$15.75$19.24$22.97
Upside / Downside-59.93%-51.05%-41.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)137.92137.88137.85137.82137.78137.75141.88
Payout Ratio23.21%36.57%49.93%63.29%76.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.0250.4368.8387.22105.60123.97131.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate-1.02%-0.02%0.98%
Year 1 PV (M)45.6246.0846.54
Year 2 PV (M)56.3357.4858.63
Year 3 PV (M)64.5866.5668.57
Year 4 PV (M)70.7473.6476.63
Year 5 PV (M)75.1379.0083.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,236.911,300.671,367.04
Equity Value (M)1,549.311,623.431,700.45
Shares Outstanding (M)66.3366.3366.33
Fair Value$23.36$24.47$25.63
Upside / Downside-40.57%-37.73%-34.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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