Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

TTY Biopharm Company Limited (4105.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.35 - $89.92$73.03
Multi-Stage$132.93 - $146.16$139.41
Blended Fair Value$106.22
Current Price$75.60
Upside40.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-4.90%0.00%3.493.392.993.993.994.490.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2.94%13.33%-25.00%0.00%-11.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.80%4.33%3.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,582.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,086.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)496.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)316.58197.86118.72
Cash Retained (M)496.16496.16496.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-316.58-197.86-118.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)179.58298.30377.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)249.24249.24249.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.721.201.51
LTM Dividend per Share4.364.364.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.721.201.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.085.565.87
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$58.35$73.03$89.92
Upside / Downside-22.81%-3.39%18.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,582.891,567.061,551.391,535.881,520.521,505.311,550.47
Payout Ratio68.65%72.92%77.19%81.46%85.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,086.731,142.761,197.571,251.161,303.561,354.781,434.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,061.851,072.691,083.52
Year 2 PV (M)1,033.991,055.201,076.62
Year 3 PV (M)1,003.771,034.811,066.49
Year 4 PV (M)971.761,012.041,053.55
Year 5 PV (M)938.44987.311,038.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,120.9229,585.2431,109.94
Equity Value (M)33,130.7434,747.2936,428.32
Shares Outstanding (M)249.24249.24249.24
Fair Value$132.93$139.41$146.16
Upside / Downside75.83%84.41%93.33%

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