DDM Analysis: 4050.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$126.38 - $148.90	$139.54
Multi-Stage	$40.32 - $44.20	$42.22
Blended Fair Value	$90.88
Current Price	$56.35
Upside	61.28%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	22.45%	-2.01%	1.18	0.82	0.81	0.44	1.20	0.43	0.00	0.00	0.38	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	43.51%	1.50%	85.35%	-63.57%	180.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	-100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.75%	1.23%	2.54%	1.27%	4.12%	1.83%	0.00%	0.00%	2.85%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	52.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	20.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)	32.40

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	10.51	6.57	3.94
Cash Retained (M)	32.40	32.40	32.40
(-) Cash Required (M)	-10.51	-6.57	-3.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)	21.89	25.83	28.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	70.18	70.18	70.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.37	0.41
LTM Dividend per Share	0.29	0.29	0.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.37	0.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.60	0.66	0.69
WACC / Discount Rate	4.94%	4.94%	4.94%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$126.38	$139.54	$148.90
Upside / Downside	124.28%	147.63%	164.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	52.54	55.96	59.60	63.47	67.59	71.99	74.15
Payout Ratio	38.33%	48.67%	59.00%	69.33%	79.67%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	20.14	27.23	35.16	44.01	53.85	64.79	68.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.94%	4.94%	4.94%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	25.71	25.95	26.19
Year 2 PV (M)	31.33	31.93	32.53
Year 3 PV (M)	37.01	38.07	39.16
Year 4 PV (M)	42.75	44.40	46.09
Year 5 PV (M)	48.55	50.90	53.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,644.19	2,771.90	2,904.50
Equity Value (M)	2,829.54	2,963.15	3,101.81
Shares Outstanding (M)	70.18	70.18	70.18
Fair Value	$40.32	$42.22	$44.20
Upside / Downside	-28.45%	-25.07%	-21.56%

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Financial Statements

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Saudi Automotive Services Company (4050.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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