Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (3711.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,266.44 - $1,589.28$1,489.39
Multi-Stage$276.35 - $302.37$289.12
Blended Fair Value$889.26
Current Price$147.50
Upside502.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.15%8.46%5.108.596.804.101.932.412.412.542.783.47
YoY Growth---40.65%26.17%65.86%112.21%-19.79%0.09%-5.36%-8.41%-19.96%53.48%
Dividend Yield--3.56%5.72%6.05%3.96%1.80%4.11%3.51%3.03%3.58%4.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35,219.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,034.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,185.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,043.994,402.492,641.50
Cash Retained (M)12,185.3512,185.3512,185.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,043.99-4,402.49-2,641.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,141.377,782.869,543.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,407.254,407.254,407.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.171.772.17
LTM Dividend per Share5.235.235.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.171.772.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.396.997.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.03%6.03%6.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,266.44$1,489.39$1,589.28
Upside / Downside758.60%909.76%977.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35,219.9437,509.2339,947.3342,543.9145,309.2648,254.3649,702.00
Payout Ratio65.40%70.32%75.24%80.16%85.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,034.5826,377.1330,056.8834,103.5638,549.3143,428.9345,974.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.03%6.03%6.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)24,642.8624,876.4425,110.02
Year 2 PV (M)26,234.3926,734.0827,238.49
Year 3 PV (M)27,809.3228,607.6229,421.06
Year 4 PV (M)29,367.7630,497.1631,658.83
Year 5 PV (M)30,909.8532,402.8133,952.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,079,002.001,131,118.201,185,229.01
Equity Value (M)1,217,966.181,274,236.311,332,610.31
Shares Outstanding (M)4,407.254,407.254,407.25
Fair Value$276.35$289.12$302.37
Upside / Downside87.36%96.02%104.99%

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