Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ceres Inc. (3696.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20,498.25 - $40,762.36$38,200.30
Multi-Stage$6,267.10 - $6,862.43$6,559.28
Blended Fair Value$22,379.79
Current Price$2,501.00
Upside794.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.15%0.00%19.8119.7838.9917.1813.4613.3911.317.160.000.00
YoY Growth--0.19%-49.28%126.91%27.64%0.53%18.39%58.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.85%1.11%3.11%1.05%0.29%1.95%0.54%0.45%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,359.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)689.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,670.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)471.85294.90176.94
Cash Retained (M)1,670.241,670.241,670.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-471.85-294.90-176.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,198.391,375.331,493.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.5111.5111.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share104.11119.49129.73
LTM Dividend per Share59.8659.8659.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share104.11119.49129.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend163.97179.34189.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20,498.25$38,200.30$40,762.36
Upside / Downside719.60%1,427.40%1,529.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,359.242,512.592,675.912,849.843,035.083,232.363,329.33
Payout Ratio29.20%41.36%53.52%65.68%77.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)689.001,039.291,432.221,871.832,362.532,909.133,079.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)968.12977.30986.47
Year 2 PV (M)1,242.761,266.441,290.33
Year 3 PV (M)1,512.991,556.421,600.68
Year 4 PV (M)1,778.851,847.261,917.62
Year 5 PV (M)2,040.392,138.942,241.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)64,594.1167,714.0370,953.36
Equity Value (M)72,137.2275,500.3878,989.72
Shares Outstanding (M)11.5111.5111.51
Fair Value$6,267.10$6,559.28$6,862.43
Upside / Downside150.58%162.27%174.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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