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Definitive Analysis

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One REIT, Inc. (3290.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - OfficeSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$364,660.14 - $760,840.80$514,686.41
Multi-Stage$459,328.48 - $503,018.00$480,764.64
Blended Fair Value$497,725.52
Current Price$89,600.00
Upside455.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.02%6.85%9,367.219,005.919,305.429,381.059,293.288,901.727,440.406,560.364,881.614,447.35
YoY Growth--4.01%-3.22%-0.81%0.94%4.40%19.64%13.41%34.39%9.76%-7.93%
Dividend Yield--10.45%10.71%10.95%10.36%8.50%10.36%7.22%7.95%6.82%6.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,238.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,461.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,776.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,647.661,029.79617.87
Cash Retained (M)2,776.792,776.792,776.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,647.66-1,029.79-617.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,129.131,747.002,158.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.400.400.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,803.884,338.205,361.07
LTM Dividend per Share13,562.1313,562.1313,562.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,803.884,338.205,361.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend16,366.0217,900.3318,923.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate2.44%3.44%4.44%
Fair Value$364,660.14$514,686.41$760,840.80
Upside / Downside306.99%474.43%749.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,238.288,521.878,815.229,118.679,432.579,757.2710,049.99
Payout Ratio66.29%71.04%75.78%80.52%85.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,461.506,053.546,679.877,342.148,042.108,781.549,296.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate2.44%3.44%4.44%
Year 1 PV (M)5,600.735,655.405,710.07
Year 2 PV (M)5,717.925,830.105,943.36
Year 3 PV (M)5,814.715,986.666,161.97
Year 4 PV (M)5,892.646,126.126,366.47
Year 5 PV (M)5,953.156,249.446,557.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)155,993.34163,757.16171,827.07
Equity Value (M)184,972.50193,604.88202,566.36
Shares Outstanding (M)0.400.400.40
Fair Value$459,328.48$480,764.64$503,018.00
Upside / Downside412.64%436.57%461.40%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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