Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Hoosiers Holdings Co., Ltd. (3284.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,054.57 - $24,217.64$22,692.82
Multi-Stage$4,876.48 - $5,350.72$5,109.15
Blended Fair Value$13,900.99
Current Price$1,296.00
Upside972.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.60%17.59%55.6553.6741.6734.1337.3346.6334.5419.6514.3711.42
YoY Growth--3.69%28.82%22.08%-8.57%-19.94%35.01%75.72%36.79%25.80%3.75%
Dividend Yield--4.47%4.60%4.17%4.26%5.23%8.80%5.54%2.47%1.48%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,548.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,045.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,503.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)909.60568.50341.10
Cash Retained (M)3,503.003,503.003,503.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-909.60-568.50-341.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,593.402,934.503,161.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.8936.8936.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share70.3079.5585.71
LTM Dividend per Share28.3328.3328.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share70.3079.5585.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend98.63107.88114.04
WACC / Discount Rate5.45%5.45%5.45%
Growth Rate4.18%5.18%6.18%
Fair Value$8,054.57$22,692.82$24,217.64
Upside / Downside521.49%1,650.99%1,768.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,548.004,783.545,031.285,291.845,565.905,854.166,029.78
Payout Ratio22.98%36.38%49.79%63.19%76.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,045.001,740.332,504.883,343.964,263.235,268.745,577.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.45%5.45%5.45%
Growth Rate4.18%5.18%6.18%
Year 1 PV (M)1,634.621,650.311,666.00
Year 2 PV (M)2,209.832,252.462,295.49
Year 3 PV (M)2,770.882,851.442,933.54
Year 4 PV (M)3,318.033,447.273,580.26
Year 5 PV (M)3,851.544,039.974,235.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)166,104.29174,230.88182,672.47
Equity Value (M)179,889.19188,472.34197,383.48
Shares Outstanding (M)36.8936.8936.89
Fair Value$4,876.48$5,109.15$5,350.72
Upside / Downside276.27%294.22%312.86%

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