Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

104 Corporation (3130.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$851.62 - $2,832.73$2,654.68
Multi-Stage$388.60 - $424.21$406.08
Blended Fair Value$1,530.38
Current Price$226.50
Upside575.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.84%8.59%13.5013.3111.087.748.568.459.5310.737.926.93
YoY Growth--1.42%20.20%43.09%-9.51%1.29%-11.36%-11.20%35.42%14.33%17.07%
Dividend Yield--6.08%5.88%5.31%4.01%5.30%6.14%5.64%6.10%5.28%4.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)476.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)469.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)95.2759.5435.72
Cash Retained (M)6.976.976.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-95.27-59.54-35.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)-88.29-52.57-28.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.4433.4433.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share-2.64-1.57-0.86
LTM Dividend per Share14.0414.0414.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share-2.64-1.57-0.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.4012.4613.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.91%6.91%6.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$851.62$2,654.68$2,832.73
Upside / Downside275.99%1,072.04%1,150.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)476.33507.29540.26575.38612.78652.61672.19
Payout Ratio98.54%96.83%95.12%93.41%91.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)469.36491.20513.91537.49561.96587.35621.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.91%6.91%6.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)455.13459.45463.76
Year 2 PV (M)441.21449.61458.09
Year 3 PV (M)427.57439.84452.35
Year 4 PV (M)414.21430.14446.52
Year 5 PV (M)401.13420.51440.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,855.8811,380.2211,924.63
Equity Value (M)12,995.1213,579.7614,185.98
Shares Outstanding (M)33.4433.4433.44
Fair Value$388.60$406.08$424.21
Upside / Downside71.57%79.28%87.29%

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