Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

CAC Nantong Chemical Co Ltd (301665.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.56 - $10.78$9.14
Multi-Stage$12.12 - $13.29$12.69
Blended Fair Value$10.92
Current Price$29.19
Upside-62.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.160.170.900.110.820.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---7.80%-80.89%686.86%-86.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.40%0.43%2.25%0.29%2.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)466.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)215.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)251.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)93.3658.3535.01
Cash Retained (M)251.22251.22251.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-93.36-58.35-35.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)157.86192.87216.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)419.41419.41419.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.460.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.460.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.890.971.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.56$9.14$10.78
Upside / Downside-74.11%-68.69%-63.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)466.80462.13457.51452.94448.41443.92457.24
Payout Ratio46.18%54.95%63.71%72.47%81.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)215.58253.92291.48328.26364.27399.53422.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)229.45231.79234.13
Year 2 PV (M)238.00242.88247.81
Year 3 PV (M)242.20249.69257.33
Year 4 PV (M)242.86252.93263.31
Year 5 PV (M)240.70253.23266.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,891.174,093.794,304.77
Equity Value (M)5,084.385,324.315,573.63
Shares Outstanding (M)419.41419.41419.41
Fair Value$12.12$12.69$13.29
Upside / Downside-58.47%-56.51%-54.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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