Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition Inc. (300795.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.63 - $21.07$13.82
Multi-Stage$7.39 - $8.05$7.71
Blended Fair Value$10.77
Current Price$14.43
Upside-25.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%47.98%0.590.000.000.000.410.000.210.130.100.01
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%69.14%33.03%616.87%13.77%
Dividend Yield--3.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.16%0.00%3.04%1.80%1.35%0.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)121.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)79.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.3315.219.12
Cash Retained (M)42.1342.1342.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.33-15.21-9.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.8026.9233.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)245.87245.87245.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.110.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.110.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.400.430.46
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9.63$13.82$21.07
Upside / Downside-33.25%-4.21%45.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)121.66129.57137.99146.96156.51166.68171.69
Payout Ratio65.37%70.30%75.22%80.15%85.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)79.5391.08103.80117.78133.15150.02158.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)82.1582.9283.70
Year 2 PV (M)84.4386.0487.66
Year 3 PV (M)86.4188.8991.42
Year 4 PV (M)88.1091.4994.97
Year 5 PV (M)89.5293.8598.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,386.381,453.341,522.87
Equity Value (M)1,816.991,896.531,978.96
Shares Outstanding (M)245.87245.87245.87
Fair Value$7.39$7.71$8.05
Upside / Downside-48.79%-46.54%-44.22%

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